Will the budget live up to the
expectations?
The most awaited event of the financial year finally passed by, leaving behind
the economy to tackle with a number of reforms and new policies and programmes.
The last Union Budget of the incumbent Modi government. was predominantly a rural sector budget
particularly aimed to benefit the deprived section of the society along with
focussing on agriculture, MSME, infrastructure and health care sector but with
a disguised political motive. The budget has withdrawn a lot of criticism from
various industry experts and major opposition parties underlining the fact that
the budget did not have anything for the middle class, investors and
corporates. And it does seem that the budget has some major shortcomings.
The very fact that the government
could not even meet the earlier fiscal deficit target and has revised it
upwards for the new financial year itself implies that the current estimated
budget significantly lacks credibility for proper execution of any of the
government’s highly ambitious plans. The big health cover scheme, fixing of
MSPs for farmers so as to make them earn 50% return on production costs and
adequate allocation of funds in various welfare and infrastructure plans, these
projects are admirable indeed but what needs to be seen is how effectively they
can be executed underlying the fiscal slippage and soaring oil prices.
Introduction of 10% tax on
LTGC(exceeding 1L) and equity based mutual funds is being seen as a big hit to
the rich investors. Stock markets are already in a highly volatile state
implying to the upcoming possible effects of this regime on investments.
Although it has been argued that the budget was deliberately projected ‘as a
budget for the poor’ only to fulfil the basic political motive of securing
votes in the forthcoming elections in 2019, we still hope that India manages to
achieve the estimated 7-7.5% growth rate in the coming financial year and the
budget does not turn out to be a mere election manifesto of fictitious
promises.
-By Harshita Singh
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